Applied Methods
~SignalsAnthropic Economic Index report: Learning curves

External signal·Anthropic·Mar 24, 2026·12 min read

Anthropic Economic Index report: Learning curves

NeutralMid-Term (3-5 yrs)
Claude adoption broadened to lower-wage tasks.

Summary

Anthropic's fifth Economic Index report studies Claude usage in February 2026, focused on learning curves in adoption. Usage diversified — the top 10 tasks fell to 19% of Claude.ai traffic, down from 24% in November 2025 — and the augmentation rate, where AI complements the user, rose slightly. Coding continued migrating from augmentative use on Claude.ai toward more automated workflows in first-party API traffic. Adoption also broadened to lower-wage tasks, so roughly 49% of jobs have now seen at least a quarter of their tasks performed with Claude.

Predictions for the future of work

Frames AI's labor-market effect as a gradual diffusion governed by learning curves rather than a sudden shock. Building on the prior report, it notes that adjusting for task reliability roughly halves implied productivity gains — from about 1.8 to 1.0 percentage points of annual labor-productivity growth over the next decade — while expecting reliability on longer-running tasks to improve.

anthropic economic indexclaudetask exposurelearning curvesautomation vs augmentation

Originally published by Anthropic · Mar 24, 2026

Read the original at Anthropic